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Snookered

March 29, 2021by jsblokland Leave a comment

Did Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, get himself into a pickle? With bond yields still on the rise, it´s starting to look that way. The markets seem to […]

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BONDS, FINANCIAL MARKETS

Revenge of the old economy

February 13, 2021by jsblokland Leave a comment

Prices in the real economy are lagging far behind prices on the financial markets. But with a historic amount of stimulus, focused increasingly on an ‘old school’ recovery, a catchup […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS

2020 in tweeted charts!

December 24, 2020by jsblokland 1 Comment

Welcome to the 2020 edition of ‘the year in tweeted charts’: a reasonably concise overview of the year, with some eye-popping graphs. But, also, a useful exercise to improve my […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS

Bond issues

October 5, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

What to do about government bonds? The yield on government bonds is historically low, while the risk is high. In the event of rising inflation, they offer little or no buffer. Nevertheless, we shouldn’t ban them completely from multi-asset portfolios just yet.

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BONDS, MACRO, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Valuation puzzle

August 21, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

Equities are expensive. It’s difficult to argue against this. But does this also mean that markets will fall sharply? Assuming that there are plenty of other factors that could drag […]

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EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

The Great Lockdown Recession

April 20, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

The IMF published new estimates for the global economy, which weren’t great – to put it mildly. The coming quarters will be historically poor and the risks will remain thereafter. […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

The momentum for fiscal stimulus is building

March 11, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

US President Trump is calling for a payroll tax relief until after the US elections. Australia just announced a EUR 11 billion package to counter the adverse impact of the […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks

February 10, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

An unexpected and unfortunate outbreak of the coronavirus puts pressure on the sustainability of the increase in global growth momentum. The fact that the uptick in momentum had only just […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

2019 in tweeted charts!

December 24, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Below is a relatively concise overview of financial markets in 2019 using a selection of charts I tweeted throughout the year. While this probably aggravates the already pronounced calendar-year thinking […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS

Why Eurozone stocks have lagged

December 10, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Since the low point for the equity markets during the global financial crisis in 2009, Eurozone equities have lagged their US counterparts by an impressive 300%. Why is this? By […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS

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  • US #houseprices fell again and are down each month reported (until November) since July. The cumulative decline is… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 41 minutes ago
  • This is an exciting set-up for tomorrow's #FOMC meeting. Markets increasingly focused on a hiking pause, which hist… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 6 hours ago
  • A massive miss in December German retail sales, which fell a whopping 5.3% (against a 0.2% decline expected). While… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 7 hours ago
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