Is the strength of the US consumer overrated?
The US consumer, which represents a bigger share of global GDP than China’s economy, has been the main driver of US GDP growth in recent quarters. Spurred by job and […]
Author Archives: jsblokland
5 charts (week 47)
Singapore electronics exports improve significantly Electronics export growth in Singapore, a bellwether for global earnings per share, improved significantly in October. While year-on-year electronics exports still recorded a double-digit decline […]
5 charts
Regime shift US stocks have outperformed their global and emerging counterparts by a mile in the last ten years. But this hasn’t always been the case. For example, in the […]
A missed opportunity
Economic growth in the Eurozone has slumped. Germany has even slipped into recession territory and yields are still extremely low, or even negative. Nevertheless, there is a noticeable absence of […]
Is the ‘great rotation’ upon us?
Stock markets have been fairly quiet in recent days, moving higher most of the time. But underneath, a spectacular rotation has been going on. Value stocks – which have lagged […]
The Yieldless Society
Central banks worldwide – with the Fed and the ECB at the forefront – are on the brink of implementing their historically rapid policy reversal, yet interest rates are already […]
China’s growing presence in financial markets
China is well on its way to becoming the world’s largest economy. While this in itself is not news, the focus on China’s path to that economic super status often […]
Where is the decline?
The chart above, created by JP Morgan, shows the calendar year returns on the S&P 500 Index and the intra-year drops that occurred during those years. This reveals an interesting […]
Equity v Bond Returns
Charts showing massive divergence are interesting to look at most of the time. And the ‘gap’ chart between US equity and bond returns is no exception. Since the start of […]
The IMF’s ‘remarkable’ track record
Forecasting recessions is hard. Just ask the IMF. The chart below, based on the work of Andrew Bridgen, chief economist at London-based Fathom Consulting, shows that the IMF has only […]
Jeroen Blokland Financial Markets Blog 