As goes January, so not goes the year
The ‘as goes January, so goes the year’ phrase implies that the return on the stock market in January is a bellwether for the rest of the year. And since […]
Category Archives: EQUITIES
Quick Fact: 2014?
The last few weeks I have encountered quite some stock market predictions that were based on last year’s performance. Many of them sounded like this; ‘Because 2013 turned out to […]
Quick Fact: Sweet December
Historically, December has comfortably been the best return month for equities. Since 1946 the average return on US equities averaged 1.8% in December, 0.4% better than the second best month, […]
Inflation and Returns: A review
Zero interest rates, an endless array of stimulative measures taken by central banks, and yet no sign of inflation. Quite the contrary. US inflation stands at only 1.2% and has […]
Central Bank Balance Sheets and Market Returns
A lot has been written about the impact of Quantitative Easing. And while it is arguable whether or not the extraordinary measures taken by central banks have had any significant […]
Quick Fact: The relationship between GDP growth and Equity Returns
The relationship between economic growth and equity returns is much debated. Not so strange if you look at the graph below. From a distance the two certainly look related. Click […]
Will September Hurt Equities?
Historically, September has on average not been a good month for equities. A well-known fact, which has been mentioned many times before. But, that does not mean it’s useless to […]
Business Confidence And Stock Markets Around The World
Another wave of business confidence data (ISM, PMI’s, etc.) has reached the markets of late. As always, there were beats and misses. But over the last couple of months these […]
Quick Fact: China Money Supply and Returns
China’s economy is slowing. GDP growth was 7.5% in the second quarter, the least since the global economy collapse early 2009. The deceleration is also visible in monetary factors like […]
What the Chinese PPI tells you about the stock market
The Chinese producer price index (PPI) came in lower than expected today. The PPI for June measured -2.7% (yoy), which means the PPI has been negative for the last 16 […]
Jeroen Blokland Financial Markets Blog 