Jeroen Blokland Financial Markets Blog

Main Menu

Skip to content
  • ABOUT

Category Archives: MACRO

Bond issues

October 5, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

What to do about government bonds? The yield on government bonds is historically low, while the risk is high. In the event of rising inflation, they offer little or no buffer. Nevertheless, we shouldn’t ban them completely from multi-asset portfolios just yet.

Read Article →
BONDS, MACRO, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

The Great Lockdown Recession

April 20, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

The IMF published new estimates for the global economy, which weren’t great – to put it mildly. The coming quarters will be historically poor and the risks will remain thereafter. […]

Read Article →
FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

The momentum for fiscal stimulus is building

March 11, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

US President Trump is calling for a payroll tax relief until after the US elections. Australia just announced a EUR 11 billion package to counter the adverse impact of the […]

Read Article →
FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

Is the strength of the US consumer overrated?

November 29, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

The US consumer, which represents a bigger share of global GDP than China’s economy, has been the main driver of US GDP growth in recent quarters. Spurred by job and […]

Read Article →
FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

A missed opportunity

October 28, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Economic growth in the Eurozone has slumped. Germany has even slipped into recession territory and yields are still extremely low, or even negative. Nevertheless, there is a noticeable absence of […]

Read Article →
MACRO

The IMF’s ‘remarkable’ track record

April 12, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Forecasting recessions is hard. Just ask the IMF. The chart below, based on the work of Andrew Bridgen, chief economist at London-based Fathom Consulting, shows that the IMF has only […]

Read Article →
MACRO

The era of extraordinary monetary policy continues

April 1, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Few investors anticipated that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell could sound even more dovish than he has in recent months. But, at the last FOMC meeting, he managed to do […]

Read Article →
BONDS, MACRO

Stuck!

February 19, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Italy’s economy has virtually stopped growing in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Real quarterly GDP growth has averaged a meager 0.05% since 2010. As a result, the debt-to-GDP ratio […]

Read Article →
MACRO

2018 in (tweeted) charts!

December 28, 2018by jsblokland Leave a comment

2018 in (tweeted) charts! This blog aims to give a relatively concise overview of financial markets in 2018 using a selection of charts I tweeted throughout the year. While this […]

Read Article →
FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

The Confident Consumer

November 9, 2018by jsblokland Leave a comment

US consumer confidence rose for the fourth consecutive month in October, and has now reached an 18-year high. But while this is certainly an impressive milestone, the sharp increase hasn’t […]

Read Article →
MACRO

Post navigation

1 2 … 13 Next →

Search

CATEGORIES

  • BONDS
  • EQUITIES
  • FINANCIAL MARKETS
  • FX
  • MACRO
  • QUICK FACTS
  • TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION
  • Uncategorized

MOST RECENT

  • Snookered
  • Revenge of the old economy
  • 2020 in tweeted charts!
  • Bond issues
  • Valuation puzzle

LINKS

  • Columns IEX
  • Columns Seeking Alpha
  • Fama & French Data
  • MeasuringWorth

Tags

asset allocation Bank of Japan Banks Bitcoin BoJ Bonds bond yield bond yields Brazil Brexit central banks China commodities consumer spending CPI debt Debt-to-GDP Deflation Draghi ECB Emerging Markets Equities Equity returns Euro Eurozone Fed Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Federal Reserve System FOMC GDP gdp growth Gold government bonds Greece Grexit high yield bonds IMF Inflation Interest rate Interest Rates ISM Italy Japan Monetary Policy Money supply negative yields Nikkei nonfarm payrolls oil opec PMI PPI QE Quantitative Easing Recession retail sales Russia S&P500 S&P 500 S&P 500 index Seasonality Sell in May September spain Stock markets TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION unemployment USD Valuation VIX Volatility wages Yellen yen

Archive

Subscribe here to receive my Newsletter

Twitter (@jsblokland)

  • Many investors/economists forgot about the strong January seasonality in #Spain's #inflation data. Core #CPI declin… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 26 minutes ago
  • US #houseprices fell again and are down each month reported (until November) since July. The cumulative decline is… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 1 hour ago
  • This is an exciting set-up for tomorrow's #FOMC meeting. Markets increasingly focused on a hiking pause, which hist… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 6 hours ago
  • A massive miss in December German retail sales, which fell a whopping 5.3% (against a 0.2% decline expected). While… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 8 hours ago
  • Many focus on the 0.3% decline in #Spain's month-on-month headline #CPI in January. And, if you lack the whole pict… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 8 hours ago
  • 'The Truth Behind #Spain's #Inflation Numbers – UGLY' - seasonal factors reveal inflationary pressures very high -… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 10 hours ago
  • #China's Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing #PMI spiked to above 50 in January as the reopening takes hold. It wil… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 13 hours ago
  • Monetary Policy Poll! Where will the Fed Funds Target Rate peak in this tightening cycle? 22 hours ago
Follow @jsblokland

Sign up for my newsletter, or contact me at jsblokland1978@gmail.com or Twitter @jsblokland

Blog at WordPress.com.
  • Follow Following
    • Jeroen Blokland Financial Markets Blog
    • Join 395 other followers
    • Already have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
    • Jeroen Blokland Financial Markets Blog
    • Customize
    • Follow Following
    • Sign up
    • Log in
    • Report this content
    • View site in Reader
    • Manage subscriptions
    • Collapse this bar
 

Loading Comments...