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Category Archives: TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Bond issues

October 5, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

What to do about government bonds? The yield on government bonds is historically low, while the risk is high. In the event of rising inflation, they offer little or no buffer. Nevertheless, we shouldn’t ban them completely from multi-asset portfolios just yet.

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BONDS, MACRO, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Valuation puzzle

August 21, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

Equities are expensive. It’s difficult to argue against this. But does this also mean that markets will fall sharply? Assuming that there are plenty of other factors that could drag […]

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EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks

February 10, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

An unexpected and unfortunate outbreak of the coronavirus puts pressure on the sustainability of the increase in global growth momentum. The fact that the uptick in momentum had only just […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Is the ‘great rotation’ upon us?

September 16, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Stock markets have been fairly quiet in recent days, moving higher most of the time. But underneath, a spectacular rotation has been going on. Value stocks – which have lagged […]

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EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Where is the decline?

May 6, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

The chart above, created by JP Morgan, shows the calendar year returns on the S&P 500 Index and the intra-year drops that occurred during those years. This reveals an interesting […]

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EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Equity v Bond Returns

April 29, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Charts showing massive divergence are interesting to look at most of the time. And the ‘gap’ chart between US equity and bond returns is no exception. Since the start of […]

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BONDS, EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Earnings growth is not a prerequisite for higher equity prices

February 26, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

With global growth leveling off, investors are more focused than ever on corporate results. These reveal a less rosy picture than in previous years and company expectations are very muted. […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

The far-reaching effects of central bank policy

February 22, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

The impact of central banks should not be underestimated. And I don’t just mean their impact on economic growth and interest rates. Central banks are also a driving force of […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Emerging stocks could make a comeback in 2019

January 15, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

2018 wasn’t a pretty year for equity markets in general, and for emerging markets in particular. Global stocks fell 4.1% (in euros), whereas emerging market equities realized a negative return […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

The pieces of the puzzle are slowly falling into place for emerging markets

December 14, 2018by jsblokland Leave a comment

Emerging market stocks often produce paltry returns when the US dollar strengthens. But recent developments point to a change in this trend, making emerging markets a more attractive investment prospect. […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

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