Valuation puzzle
Equities are expensive. It’s difficult to argue against this. But does this also mean that markets will fall sharply? Assuming that there are plenty of other factors that could drag […]
Tag Archives: Equities
The Great Lockdown Recession
The IMF published new estimates for the global economy, which weren’t great – to put it mildly. The coming quarters will be historically poor and the risks will remain thereafter. […]
It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks
An unexpected and unfortunate outbreak of the coronavirus puts pressure on the sustainability of the increase in global growth momentum. The fact that the uptick in momentum had only just […]
Why Eurozone stocks have lagged
Since the low point for the equity markets during the global financial crisis in 2009, Eurozone equities have lagged their US counterparts by an impressive 300%. Why is this? By […]
5 charts
Regime shift US stocks have outperformed their global and emerging counterparts by a mile in the last ten years. But this hasn’t always been the case. For example, in the […]
Equity v Bond Returns
Charts showing massive divergence are interesting to look at most of the time. And the ‘gap’ chart between US equity and bond returns is no exception. Since the start of […]
Quick Fact – As goes January…
We are only halfway through January, but it doesn’t feel like a fresh start to the new year, now does it? From day one markets looked grim and sentiment turned […]
Sell in May – Early Summer Update
Here’s a very brief update on this year’s ‘Sell in May’ effect. The graph above shows that during last winter period (November – April) stocks yielded healthy returns. Especially in […]
Six years of Central Bank Dominance in Six Charts.
Six years ago, on March 09, we hit the low in stock markets. After five quarters of falling stock prices, the S&P 500 index hit 666 (yes 666), the bottom […]
Three charts on stock markets & volatility
The relationship between stock market returns and volatility is negative. Common investor knowledge, I presume. Since the start of this millennium the correlation between weekly changes in the VIX index […]
