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Tag Archives: Equities

Valuation puzzle

August 21, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

Equities are expensive. It’s difficult to argue against this. But does this also mean that markets will fall sharply? Assuming that there are plenty of other factors that could drag […]

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EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

The Great Lockdown Recession

April 20, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

The IMF published new estimates for the global economy, which weren’t great – to put it mildly. The coming quarters will be historically poor and the risks will remain thereafter. […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS, MACRO

It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks

February 10, 2020by jsblokland Leave a comment

An unexpected and unfortunate outbreak of the coronavirus puts pressure on the sustainability of the increase in global growth momentum. The fact that the uptick in momentum had only just […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Why Eurozone stocks have lagged

December 10, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Since the low point for the equity markets during the global financial crisis in 2009, Eurozone equities have lagged their US counterparts by an impressive 300%. Why is this? By […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS

5 charts

November 9, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Regime shift US stocks have outperformed their global and emerging counterparts by a mile in the last ten years. But this hasn’t always been the case. For example, in the […]

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FINANCIAL MARKETS

Equity v Bond Returns

April 29, 2019by jsblokland Leave a comment

Charts showing massive divergence are interesting to look at most of the time. And the ‘gap’ chart between US equity and bond returns is no exception. Since the start of […]

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BONDS, EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

CAPE – the good, the bad and the ugly

May 4, 2017by jsblokland 1 Comment

The CAPE ratio, or Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings ratio, is making headlines again. The stock market valuation indicator developed by Nobel laureate Robert Shiller is giving many investors headaches. But, […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS

Quick Fact – As goes January…

January 14, 2016by jsblokland Leave a comment

We are only halfway through January, but it doesn’t feel like a fresh start to the new year, now does it? From day one markets looked grim and sentiment turned […]

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EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS

Sell in May – Early Summer Update

June 18, 2015by jsblokland Leave a comment

Here’s a very brief update on this year’s ‘Sell in May’ effect. The graph above shows that during last winter period (November – April) stocks yielded healthy returns. Especially in […]

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EQUITIES, TACTICAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Six years of Central Bank Dominance in Six Charts.

March 10, 2015by jsblokland 2 Comments

Six years ago, on March 09, we hit the low in stock markets. After five quarters of falling stock prices, the S&P 500 index hit 666 (yes 666), the bottom […]

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BONDS, EQUITIES, FINANCIAL MARKETS

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Twitter (@jsblokland)

  • It's relative #valuation that counts! Higher equity risk premium (relative to govt bonds) means higher returns. https://t.co/gi8iu7u7dV 4 hours ago
  • Long-duration stocks: prudent, but not negative Higher #yields imply growth stocks could lag, but it's too early t… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 7 hours ago
  • Dividend cuts... https://t.co/A5fcgdLVhV 8 hours ago
  • #bitcoin's correlation with other asset classes has increased in recent years. https://t.co/LNzT67cWmC 9 hours ago
  • #Germany's #GDP grew 0.3% in Q4, revised upwards from 0.1%. YoY 'growth' at -3.7%. https://t.co/q59JJ9OlWY 9 hours ago
  • The best commodity for 2021? 18 hours ago
  • ICYMI! In 2020, global #debt rose by an incredible USD 24 trillion to USD 281 trillion, or 355% of global #GDP! sou… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 20 hours ago
  • US house prices rose more than 10% in December, the first double digit increase since April 2014! https://t.co/bMLEriOpzx 1 day ago
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